thought expms are simulations, so saying your logical "thought expm" or theory is always better than computer sim at modeling what may have actually happened is flawed. simulations are just many logical steps put together, same as a theory. both model types lack many 'complex factors', so you can't dismiss computer sims if you accept theories/reasonings in general (which you must as the counterarg itself is a theory, so not accepting it breaks the foundations of logic meaning nothing can be marked right/wrong)